January 30th

With a larger sample size of minutes played stemming from more games played, statistics are now starting to stabilize around their ‘true’ values. This makes Darius Adams’ continued ability to draw and make free throws an excellent sight to see. His free throws attempted per 100 possessions have remained at an elite 98th percentile, while he continues to make them at a respectable 74% clip. His 57th percentile three-point attempt rate and 49th percentile true turnover rate further demonstrate his ability to take good shots (threes and free throws) without turning the ball over. The integration of these two factors has led to strong scoring production despite shooting woes, as his 31.6 points per 100 possessions still ranks in the 84th percentile.

While he’s shooting just 25% from three on the season, his sample size-adjusted 31% and strong shooting priors in high school point towards a higher shooting ceiling that he can work his way towards throughout the season.

December 4th

Any assessment of Darius Adams’ statistical profile must start with his special ability to draw fouls. He currently boasts a ridiculous 73.3 free-throw attempt rate, which ranks in the 100th percentile among guards this season. He has also converted 77% of these free throws; the combination of many free throw attempts and many free throw makes gives him a high offensive floor. This claim is supported by his 90th percentile true shooting percentage despite struggling from the field early on. As he further adjusts to college basketball and begins to hit more of his shots, Adams has a chance to be one of the most efficient guards in his conference.

Adams’ three-point shooting particularly is where he can really transform things. Despite half of his field-goal attempts coming from beyond the arc, he’s converted just under 29% of them. This is not representative of the shooter he truly is though, as he was a much better shooter in high school and is continuing to make most of his free throws. Once he inevitably begins making threes at a better clip, his combination of rim pressure and outside shooting will be very difficult to guard. His points per 100 possessions already ranks in the 83rd percentile, and making more threes would only boost this to higher levels.