December 4th
Two years of minimal playing time and a transfer of schools later, and Cameron Carr is finally receiving ample opportunity to showcase his talents at the college level. He has more than seized the opportunity, as his excellent play through seven games has him high on scouts’ boards. While season sample sizes are still too small to make definitive claims about Carr’s games, there have been early-season highs and lows that scouts have noted down thus far. This rendition of Carr’s player profile is meant to showcase both those highs and those lows, and how they compare to his performance in the past. For now, we’ll focus on just his offense.
We can’t talk about Carr’s offense without highlighting his special combination of athleticism and shooting. He’s currently on pace for more than 45 dunks and 75 made threes, something that has never been done before in a season dating back to 2008. Let us repeat: no NCAA player since 2008 has made 45 dunks and 75 threes in the same season. The closest player was R.J. Barrett in 2019, who dunked 40 times and made 73 threes. Barrett also had many more shot attempts and much worse shooting efficiency than Carr, who is shooting 50% from three to Barrett’s 31%. Carr’s three-point percentage is obviously bound to decrease with a larger sample size, but anything above 40% would be terrific.
Together, his athleticism and shooting have powered an impressive 70.1 true shooting percentage, which ranks in the 97th percentile among wings. This percentage accounts for his excellent ability to both draw free throws and convert them. Pair this well-rounded scoring prowess with low turnovers, and Carr has been one of the most impactful offensive players in the NCAA this season.
His single weakness thus far has been his passing, as his assist volume ranks in the 29th percentile and his assist-to-turnover ratio in the 37th percentile. However, these numbers have to be contextualized. Carr’s role within Baylor’s offense is mostly to find and fire open looks for himself, not to break down the defense and create open looks for teammates. As a result, his passing volume will always be restricted, something that must be carefully explained to NBA teams. On the other hand, his poor assist-to-turnover ratio is simply a result of small sample sizes, and will likely stabilize as the season progresses. His career 1.7 ratio across 77 high school, AAU, and college games is well above-average for a wing.