2024 Player Profile - Payton Sandfort

(February 9th) In the past two weeks since the last profile, you’ve shot 41% from 3, taking you from the 84th percentile to the 93rd.  That increase has taken your true shooting from the 74th percentile, which would’ve been fine given your offensive load, to the 82nd percentile, which is outright excellent in the context of the volume you’re given.  On top of that, your defensive PIPM has also risen from the 49th percentile to the 51st.  

And if that last paragraph looks familiar, it’s because it’s exactly identical to the start of the one from two weeks ago with the numbers updated.  Effectively, this stretch of the season has been defined by catching your shooting numbers up to your actual shooting ability, and that meteoric rise to reality has absolutely caught the eye of NBA teams.

(January 24th) In the past month since the last profile, you’ve shot 41% from 3, taking you from the 60th percentile to the 84th.  That increase has taken your true shooting from the 58th percentile, which would’ve been fine given your offensive load, to the 74th percentile, which is outright excellent in the context of the volume you’re given.  On top of that, your defensive PIPM has also risen from the 39th percentile to the 49th.  In the last profile, we said that the drop to 39th was likely the result of random fluctuations, and this is just evidence of that – one month later, your DPIPM is almost exactly where it was after the first profile, which is more than good enough to not undercut your elite offensive ability.

(December 14th) In the past two weeks since the last profile, you’ve shot 44% from 3, taking you from the 25th percentile to the 60th.  Your assists are also up very slightly over the time period (2.5 per game up to 3), so while your PIPM numbers are down, that’s likely just random fluctuations.  If there is anything to point to causing the PIPM numbers to drop, it’s decreased volume, which I know is only in your hands to a limited degree, so for now just know that you’re still on pace statistically, even though you’re being mishandled.

(November 30th) At summer league, you and I talked about how your path forward was to shoot 40+% from three, make slight steps forward as a passer, and get to an average to above average defensive level. Thus far, you’ve made the step in playmaking (76th percentile in assists) and defensively (50th percentile in DPIPM). The three point percentage has not hit the targets we would hope for, but it genuinely might not even matter because you’ve still been one of the top offensive forces in the country (99th percentile OPIPM) without it. For a shooter to still be making the kind of impact you are even when his shot isn’t going in is truly remarkable.